Hot, dry summer expected across much of Canada, Weather Network predicts
It will be a perfect summer for barbecues and park picnics across much of Canada, according to a prominent national forecaster.
But the hot, dry conditions that socially hungry Canadians need as the spread of COVID-19 slows and the pace of vaccination accelerates will also allow forest fires to grow, warned Chris Scott, chief meteorologist. at The Weather Network.
“This summer we think we’ll have a few more lovely days, so if that means going to the beach or going to the park, camping, it’s a great summer for most of the country,” he said. the network published its summer forecast on Tuesday.
“However, there is a downside for areas expected to experience a hot, dry summer.”
The still-present risk of wildfires in the interior of British Columbia is higher than normal, he said, with warmer temperatures and less precipitation than average.
Across the Rockies, he said, Alberta is expected to experience above normal temperatures, with less than average precipitation in the south and center of the province and above normal precipitation in the North.
Things could get worrisome in the agricultural regions of Saskatchewan and Manitoba as well, he said.
“We’re really concerned here about a drought,” Scott said. “… June is really going to set the table for us and tell us what’s going to happen for the rest of the summer.”
June is generally the wettest month in this part of Canada, he noted, and if it rains in June, things could be fine.
“But our concern is that June will get drier than normal, and then we get into this self-fulfilling prophecy where things keep getting dried out during the growing season,” Scott said.
Northern Manitoba could see slightly below normal temperatures, as will parts of northern Ontario.
Northern Ontario could also experience above normal levels of precipitation, unlike other parts of the province where precipitation is expected to be below or near average.
“Southern Ontario looks pretty good overall,” said Scott. “There is a bit of everything for everyone as long as we will have our heat – we will have our really hot days – but there will also be a few refreshing days.”
Scott said the situation would likely be similar in Quebec.
“Montreal might be just a little cooler than last year, but Montreal ranked among the top five summers last year in terms of high temperatures,” he said.
Further east, the Atlantic provinces can expect above normal temperatures.
Newfoundland and Labrador can expect average levels of rain, Scott said, but the Maritime provinces are expected to receive more precipitation than normal.
“We don’t think it’s a summer washout at all. But we think when it rains it will really rain thanks to a warm Atlantic Ocean and an above-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic,” he said, adding that it was also soon to say whether the region will be hit by tropical storms.
In the north, precipitation levels will be close to normal, Scott predicted.
Temperatures are forecast to be above normal over the Yukon and western Northwest Territories, while they are expected to be near normal further east of the region, passing through Nunavut.
West of Hudson Bay, Scott said, temperatures are expected to drop below average.
“Overall I think the weather is great here for people who like to go out,” he said.
“The real concern, however, is the lack of rainfall that is possible in some of the major agricultural regions of the country. And that’s going to be a huge story to follow in the coming weeks to see how that leads to the height of summer.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published on June 1, 2021.